In the first half of the year, the output of major chemical products kept growing despite the complex economic environment at home and abroad. According to the data, among the key products, only the growth rate of ethylene production in the first half of the year fell compared to the same period of last year, and the others showed an upward trend.
In particular, it is worth mentioning that the production of fertilizers and pesticides has grown rapidly and has performed well. From January to June, the national fertilizer output was 37.051 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%. Among them, urea production 15.18 million tons, an increase of 10.4%; phosphate fertilizer output 9.798 million tons, an increase of 18.3%; potash fertilizer production 2.407 million tons, an increase of 6.8%. The output of pesticides was 1.724 million tons, an increase of 21.7%.
From the perspective of output value, agrochemicals are also rare in the industry. The output value of chemical fertilizers was 381.54 billion yuan, an increase of 21.1% year-on-year; the output value of pesticides production was 117.82 billion yuan, an increase of 21.3%.
In the first five months, the top five provinces in fertilizer production were: Shandong's output accounted for 18.97% of the country, Hubei accounted for 15.66%, Sichuan accounted for 6.11%, Henan accounted for 5.94%, and Shanxi accounted for 5.69%. The data shows that Shandong, Hubei, Henan, and Sichuan are China's major provinces for food production, and are also the provinces with large demand for chemical fertilizers. Fertilizer production ranks among the most reasonable in the country; Shanxi is a major province of China's coal resources and has production of chemical fertilizers. Resource advantages. In addition, Guizhou, Anhui, Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Jiangsu are the provinces with the largest output and top rankings.
According to analysis, the direct cause of the favorable situation of agricultural products in the first half of the year was the steady production and increase of production in China's agriculture, and the drive to safeguard national food security. The rigid fertilizer demand still exists. The state further raised the minimum grain purchase price and increased the subsidy to agriculture, which further stimulated the enthusiasm of farmers for farming and provided strong support for the fertilizer market.
Many fertilizer manufacturers and distributors generally believe that the days of the first half of this year are better than last year. The person in charge of Shanxi Fengxi Fertilizer Industry Group stated that the price of fertilizer raw coal fell in the first half of the year, so the cost of urea fell by 400 yuan per ton, while the highest price of urea sold 2250 yuan per ton, which was better than expected at the beginning of the year. . Especially in the peak season of fertilizer, urea has almost no inventory and how much is produced. In the first half of Hubei Yihua, the volume and price of urea rose, and the company's urea utilization rate at each base reached full capacity. The sales status was good. In the first half of the year, the net profit of Xinlianxin Fertilizer soared 2.5 times year-on-year. In addition, Guangdong, which is not a large fertilizer province, has seen a marked increase in fertilizer demand during the peak of fertilizer use, and some products even appear to be out of stock.
Some analysts believe that with the increase in the demand for fertilizers in China and the continuous increase in production capacity with abundant resources, it is expected that China's fertilizer production will increase in 2012. However, the petrochemical federation analysis pointed out that the nitrogen fertilizer industry may be more difficult to operate in the second half of the year. There are four reasons: slowing demand, accelerating capacity expansion, downward pressure on prices, and increasing international competition. In the second half of the year, the outlook for the nitrogen fertilizer industry is not optimistic.
The petrochemical federation predicts that overall, in the second half of the year, a series of favorable factors will provide an advantageous environment for the production and sales of major chemical products.
For agriculture, the goal for 2012 is to ensure that the total grain production in the country is more than 1,050 billion kilograms and that all efforts are made to stabilize at a level of 1,100 billion kilograms. This puts new demands on the supply of agricultural production materials such as chemical fertilizers, pesticides, and agricultural films.
In the industrial sector, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology proposed that the industrial added value above designated size will increase by about 11% in 2012, and the stable demand in the relevant industrial market will effectively promote the growth of the output of petrochemical products. For example, in the automotive market, according to the estimation of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the sales volume of automobiles in 2012 is about 20 million, an increase of about 8%; the export volume of automobiles is estimated to be 1.05 million to 1.1 million, an increase of 25% to 30%. The good recovery trend of the auto market is expected to be beneficial to the production of tires, synthetic resins, automotive coatings, and electronic chemicals.
In the real estate market, in the second half of the year, with the continuous advancement of the construction of affordable housing, the market supply of petrochemical products such as chemical building materials, coatings, soda ash, decoration materials and furniture materials will be vigorously promoted.
The petrochemical federation specifically reminded that the phenomenon of the continued expansion of some overcapacity industries should be alarmed. For example, methanol expansion is still advancing. In 2012, nearly 6 million tons of new methanol plant will be put into operation in China, and the total production capacity is expected to exceed 52 million tons. The new production capacity of caustic soda will exceed 4 million tons, the new PVC production capacity will be about 2.4 million tons, and the new production capacity of soda ash will be nearly 4 million tons, which will further increase market pressure.
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