Su Zimeng: Industry Production and Sales Deteriorated from January to May

Abstract: As the domestic construction machinery industry continues to show signs of declining, the data from the China Construction Machinery Industry Association further proves that the industry is entering the adjustment period, and it also enters the annual downturn of the construction machinery industry. The next June and July It is expected to hardly change.

As the current domestic construction machinery industry shows signs of declining, the data from the China Construction Machinery Industry Association further proves that the industry is entering the adjustment period, and it also enters the annual downturn of the construction machinery industry. It is expected that the next 6 months will be difficult to achieve. Change.

The data released by the Association’s Secretary-General Su Zimeng recently showed that from January to March 2011, the sales revenue of major products of major construction machinery industry enterprises in China increased by 56.6% year-on-year, from January to April by 51.8%, and from January to May by 47% year-on-year. From the perspective of sales, from January to March 2011, the sales volume of major products of major construction machinery companies increased by 53.3% year-on-year; from January to April, they increased by 39.4% year-on-year; from January to May, they increased by 32% year-on-year, a decrease of 22.8% from the previous month.

From Table 1, it can be seen that after experiencing the hot market situation in March, the subsequent April and May are declining trends, and the market growth gradually slows down.

As shown in Table 2, from January to April in 2011, the main construction machinery product lines included eight types of excavators, loaders, bulldozers, cranes, rollers, paver machines, forklifts, and graders, averaging over 25% each. The growth trend. Among them, the paving machine has the largest increase of 78.1%; followed by industrial vehicles, mainly forklift products, an increase of 48.9%; before the excavator in April accumulated growth of 47.4%. Let us review the highlights of March. In the month of March, 24 major excavator manufacturers sold 43,063 excavators, a year-on-year increase of 42.92%, a new monthly sales record. From January to March, 74314 excavators were sold, a year-on-year increase of 58.60. %, continuing high growth, sales in March set another record for the year.

However, after entering the month of May, none of the eight major aircraft products showed a declining month-on-month ratio. Among them, the excavator experienced the largest decrease in the chain ratio. In May, the cumulative sales volume of the market dropped by almost 50%. From this we analyze that there are various potential market factors behind the explosive growth of excavator sales in the first three months of this year. There are both rigid demands for the start of construction projects and some speculative psychology. However, with the continuous upward adjustment of the reserve ratio in the near future, Bank loans have become more difficult, and the most important issue facing the construction of many projects has been highlighted. Once a project encounters problems, it will inevitably cause a large number of excavators to start underutilized or idle. Recently, some excavator owners have sought to sell equipment to the market to ease the pressure on loans.

Secretary-General Su Zimeng also analyzed the main features of the current development of the construction machinery industry: First, the current independent innovation capability of the major enterprises in the construction machinery industry continues to improve, and the industrial structure has been further optimized. It has been separated from the past single product, and the homogenization phenomenon is improving. . Second, external investment in the market and mergers and acquisitions between enterprises continued to accelerate, and the industrial layout was more reasonable. At the same time, industry companies responded positively to the national government's call to strengthen the company's production and its own energy-saving emission reduction, green and low-carbon requirements, and remanufacturing of construction machinery. In terms of enterprises, the major state-owned, private, and foreign-invested enterprises in the construction machinery industry achieved harmonious development. The strength of a group of major companies such as XCMG, Sanyi, China United, Liugong and Shantui was significantly enhanced. In addition, foreign imports of new aircraft and used construction machinery grew rapidly, but to a certain extent caused more fierce market competition, while domestic enterprises resumed the recovery of growth.

From January to April 2011, the total import and export trade volume of China's construction machinery industry was 7.897 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 50.1% over the previous year. Among them, the import amount was 3.69 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 46.5% over the previous year; the export value was 4.2 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 53.3% over the previous year, and the trade surplus was 510 million U.S. dollars. Imported machines totaled 2.2 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 38% over the previous year and accounted for 59.8% of the total imports. Imports of Spare Parts and components were 1.485 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 61.4% over the previous year, accounting for 40.2% of total imports. Among them, 15,932 sets of crawler excavators were imported, totaling 1.423 billion U.S. dollars, up 22% and 44.8% year-on-year. Among them, the imports of crawler excavators accounted for nearly 64.5% of the total imports.

From January to April, the cumulative total export volume reached 2.71 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 52.5% over the previous year and accounted for 64.5% of the total exports. The export of spare parts and components accounted for 1.49 billion U.S. dollars, accounting for 35.5% of the total export volume, an increase of 54.8% over the previous year. In February, March, and April, the cumulative increase in exports was 37.4%, 50.9%, and 59.3%, respectively, an increase that was significant. The main exporters of products such as crawler excavators, loaders, bulldozers, road-building and graders, scrapers, all-terrain cranes, forklifts, rock drills, and tunnel boring machines with a large export increase were: the United States (US$389,890,000). India ($23.43 million), Japan ($23.168 million), the Russian Federation ($21.066 million), Brazil ($0.292 million), South Korea ($1.4443 million), Iran ($13.04 million), Singapore ($1.1166 million), Indonesia ($109.26 million) and Australia ($1.0802 million).

At the same time, Secretary-General Su Zimeng believes that the current major problems in the construction machinery industry are as follows: the impact of the national macro-control policies has gradually emerged. The impact of the national macro-economic policy adjustment in the first quarter on the construction machinery industry is not obvious, and the whole industry continues to maintain rapid development. But beginning in April, the impact gradually emerged. The market competition will be fiercer, and companies will need to make greater efforts to avoid market risks. Large-scale enterprises with strong technical management markets are in a favorable position. The pressure of rising corporate cost factors continues to increase, and product prices continue to increase. The high-end parts and special raw materials are still subject to human control. The bottleneck in the industry remains unresolved. Some small and medium-sized enterprises will face difficulties in their production and operation. Firms are fighting for market share, low-cost sales and zero down payment are beginning to appear, and the market order and industry self-discipline issues are outstanding.

Although the current industry slows down, the overall growth rate of the industry will basically remain stable. The China Construction Machinery Industry Association predicts that in 2011 the industry’s sales revenue will increase by about 17%. Exports will increase by more than 25% and return to the highest level in 2008.

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