It is understood that under the guidance of relevant industrial policies such as the “Made in China 2025†strategy of strengthening the country, the transformation, upgrading and innovation of China’s machinery industry continued to advance in 2016. At the same time, with the further advancement of structural adjustment, the market environment facing the development of the industry is still severe, and the deep-seated conflicts within the industry are becoming more prominent. The task of industrial transformation and upgrading is even more onerous.
“In 2016, the economic operation of the machinery industry continued the trend of stabilization at a low level since the fourth quarter of last year, and the operation was basically stable throughout the year.†Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Federation of Machinery Industry, said in an exclusive interview with reporters recently that “Made in China 2025 With the guidance of related policies and the related policies, the overall operation of the industry was stable, the growth rate rebounded, and the overall development trend was positive. At the same time, with the further advancement of structural adjustment, the market environment facing the development of the industry is still grim, the deeper internal conflicts in the industry are becoming more prominent, and the task of industrial transformation and upgrading is even more onerous.
Chen Bin pointed out that the growth rate in 2016 exceeded the expectation at the beginning of the year and it is expected that the growth rate of the value added of the machinery industry will be higher than that of the national industry and manufacturing industry. The revenue and profit of the main business will maintain a synchronous growth, and the export growth will strive better than last year (- 3.36%).
Looking forward to 2017, Chen Bin said that the machinery industry will implement "Made in China 2025" as the starting point, market-oriented, with enterprises as the main body, innovation as the foundation, and on the basis of maintaining the steady development of the machinery industry, vigorously promote machinery Industrial restructuring, transformation and upgrading, cost reduction and efficiency increase, and strive to realize the healthy development of the industry.
Growth rebounded beyond expectations
Chen Bin pointed out that since 2016, the growth rate of the major economic indicators of the machinery industry has generally risen on the basis of the lower level of the previous year, and the growth rate has exceeded the expectation at the beginning of the year. From January to October, the growth rate of the value added of machinery industry increased by 9.3% year-on-year, which was higher than the growth rate of industrial and manufacturing value added over the same period, which was 4.1% higher than the same period of last year; the income from main operations increased by 7.22% compared to the same period of last year. The increase was 4.22 percentage points; the profit growth was 7.19% year-on-year, an increase of 6 percentage points over the same period of last year.
As of October, there were a total of 85,700 enterprises above designated size in the machinery industry, accounting for 22.72% of the nation's total industry; 19.51 trillion yuan in main business income, accounting for 21.19% of the nation's total industrial output; 1.29 trillion yuan in total profits, accounting for 24.49% of the national industry. %, contribute to the steady growth of the country's industry.
In the severe market competition, enterprises are in line with the adjustment of the country's industrial structure, and strive to develop marketable products, and the development momentum is good.
The output of products closely related to consumption and environmental protection kept growing. From January to October, the production and sales of automobiles reached 220.16 million units and 22.0172 million units respectively, an increase of 13.79% and 13.83% year-on-year. The growth of environmental protection products was outstanding. From January to October, the equipment for environmental pollution prevention and control increased by 21.17% year-on-year; the internal-combustion forklifts related to logistics and warehousing consumption increased by 11.3%, the electric forklift increased by 2.64%, and the packaging equipment increased by 4.19%.
Sales of products related to new energy and smart manufacturing have grown rapidly. From January to October, the production and sales volume of new energy vehicles were 355,000 and 337,000, respectively, an increase of 77.9% and 82.2% respectively year-on-year. In the first half of the year, domestic industrial robots sold 19,000 units, an increase of 70.8% year-on-year.
In the national key transmission channel construction projects and accelerate the construction of the distribution network transformation and a new round of rural power grid transformation and upgrading project, the power-related products to maintain growth. Electrical and Instrumentation increased by 15.55% year-on-year, transformers related to power transmission and transformation increased by 6.77% year-on-year, power capacitors increased by 12.48%, high-voltage switchboards increased by 8.84%, high-voltage switchgears (above 110,000 volts) increased by 16.74% compared to the same period of last year, and optical cables increased year-on-year. 15.49%, strand growth 12.43% year-on-year.
Steady progress in innovation capacity building
Under the guidance of relevant industrial policies such as the “Made in China 2025†strategy, the transformation, upgrading and innovation of the machinery industry continued to advance.
Large-scale nuclear power, hydropower, thermal power and wind power equipment, UHV AC/DC and flexible DC transmission and transformation equipment, key equipment for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipelines, key equipment for large-scale coal Chemical industry, high-end CNC machine tools and other high-end equipment have achieved breakthroughs in independent research and development.
Due to the continuous downturn in the traditional product market, innovation and development has become an independent choice for more and more machinery companies, and the investment of enterprises in exploring innovative capacity and innovative models has increased significantly.
Progress has been made in the construction of basic test and test platforms for the development of new products. Platforms for large-scale compressor test rigs, water wheel model test rigs, and power station safety valve test rigs have been completed one after another. Test and testing platforms with advanced world standards are still beginning to be built.
Smart Manufacturing started
In recent years, China's manufacturing industry has accelerated the pace of digitization and information construction, and the construction of automated production lines and digital workshops has accelerated. The level of informationization in production, operations, and management has been continuously improved. Under the synergy effect of the rapid development of information technology such as the Internet and cloud computing, as well as sensing and control technologies, smart manufacturing has begun to take off. Take industrial robots as an example. According to statistics from China Robotics Industry Alliance, China has become the world’s largest consumer market for industrial robots for three consecutive years. "Machine substitution" has obvious momentum. In China, transfer robots have accounted for 42% of robots, and welding robots have accounted for 30%.
At the same time, the transformation of traditional enterprises into the manufacturing services industry continues to advance, and the service model continues to innovate. China Machines Co., Ltd. has issued the “Guidance Opinion on the Development of Service-Oriented Manufacturing in the Machinery Industryâ€. At present, the service-oriented manufacturing of the machinery industry has been extended to 13 subordinate industries, achieving a complete service chain from R&D and design to product recycling and remanufacturing. Shaanxi Blower Group, Weichai Power Group and Hangzhou Oxygen Co., Ltd. have emerged. Machinery Group, Zhejiang Zhonghua Technology Co., Ltd. and a number of typical and model companies. The service industry of the machinery industry is actively advancing, new business models and new models are emerging, and the development of service-oriented manufacturing has become an important approach for the transformation and upgrading of machinery industry enterprises.
Special equipment manufacturing is a short board for development
Chen Bin pointed out that the current problems in the development of the machinery industry and the short board mainly include the following aspects:
First, the growth rate of investment has fallen back too quickly. From January to October, the total investment in fixed assets rose by 8.3% year-on-year. The manufacturing industry increased by 3.1% year-on-year. The investment in the machinery industry only increased by 0.74%, which was 10.36 percentage points lower than that in the first quarter. It was the lowest growth rate in the same period since 2008, which was lower than the total. Social and manufacturing investment growth rate was 7.56 and 2.36 percentage points.
In the 13 major industries of the machinery industry, nearly half of the industry's investment decreased year-on-year, including six industries: internal combustion engines, heavy machinery, machine tools, petrochemical general machinery, cultural Office Equipment, and other civilian machinery. The growth rate of electrical and electronic appliances and food packaging machinery industry was higher in the industries with year-on-year growth, which were 10.36% and 8.48%, respectively. The increase in investment in agricultural machinery, construction machinery, instrumentation, basic parts and automobile industries was less than 5%.
Second, the weak market demand situation has not improved noticeably. The survey data of the key industrial enterprises in the machinery industry show that the accumulated orders have risen compared with last year, but the ordering situation is still unstable, and the relevant industries such as engineering, heavy-duty, mining machinery, and petroleum machinery Enterprise orders are obviously insufficient. The main reason is that due to the large amount of social inventory accumulated in the market during the period of high-speed growth in the early stage, the new projects have a limited effect on the market. The demand for iron and steel, electricity, coal, building materials, and petroleum in the upstream industry is sluggish, and demand for machinery and equipment has declined.
Third, the investment host industry is difficult. Although the operating conditions of the machinery industry have been generally satisfactory since 2016, most investment-oriented host industries are still in difficulties except for the automotive and electric industries.
Fourth, the international market is weak. From January to October, the total import and export volume of the machinery industry was 525.97 billion U.S. dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 4.77%. In terms of sub-sectors, the total foreign trade exports of the 13 sub-sectors of the machinery industry were all negative year-on-year, and the declines in the agricultural machinery, engineering machinery, and cultural office equipment industries all exceeded 10%. In addition, exports accounted for 40% of private-sector enterprises in the entire industry. In the past, exports grew by double digits. Since the beginning of last year, they have begun to decline month by month. From January to October, negative growth has occurred, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 0.79%.
Chen Bin pointed out that the current special equipment manufacturing has become a shortcoming in the development of the machinery industry. After years of development, China's equipment manufacturing industry has made great achievements and formed a relatively complete industrial system. It provides a large number of technical equipment for the development of the national economy and national defense construction, but the special production equipment, production lines, and equipment required for the manufacture of these technical equipment are The detection system mainly relies on imports. Compared with developed countries, there is still a large gap between domestic production facilities, production lines, and inspection systems. The capacity for independent innovation is weak, and core technologies are missing; product reliability, stability, and consistency are not high; user departments and manufacturing departments The degree of integration is low, and cooperative development, demonstration and promotion are difficult. The vast majority of imported equipment is dedicated production equipment, special production lines and special inspection systems. The key production equipment for the manufacture of major technical equipment and the special production lines and inspection systems for manufacturing high-end products are basically controlled by people. These have become major shortcomings in the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry.
The industry is stable and the trend remains unchanged
Judging the current domestic and international situation facing the machinery industry, Chen Bin pointed out that in the context of the rise of global trade protectionism and the increasing anti-globalization trend in 2016, although the global economy has generally maintained a recovery trend, it faces insufficient growth momentum, weak demand, and financial There have been multiple risks and challenges such as repeated market turmoil, continued sluggish trade and investment.
Under this situation, the machinery industry's foreign trade, foreign cooperation, and capital allocation will all face a new and more complex situation. It is necessary to actively explore new methods, new models, and new approaches, taking advantage of China’s economic “One Belt and One Road†strategy, and maintaining and improving the status of China’s machinery industry in the global market.
In the domestic market, in-depth advancement of various tasks of “Made in China 2025â€, implementation of “Strong Foundation Project†and “Intelligent Manufacturing†as well as the implementation of major technological transformation and upgrading projects are significant for the development of the machinery industry and the driving role of economic operation. . Under the circumstances that the downward pressure on the industry economy has intensified and the transformation and upgrading are in the critical stage, it is not only a continuation of the adjustment and revitalization planning policy for the “12th Five-Year†mechanical industry, but also a concrete deployment and requirement for the development of the “13th Five-Year Plan†mechanical industry. Aiming at the shortcomings and contradictions in the development of the machinery industry, it is instructive, targeted, and highly operational. It provides a favorable policy environment for the development of the machinery industry and boosts the confidence and determination of the entire industry. However, it should be noted that the downward pressure on economic operations is still high, and the sluggish domestic market for mechanical products is unlikely to improve significantly in the short term. Iron and steel, coal, electricity, petroleum, and chemical industries, which are the main services for the machinery industry, are generally in the period of deep adjustment of the industrial structure. It is difficult for demand for energy equipment to increase substantially in the short term. In addition, after years of rapid development, the social possession of various types of machinery products has reached a considerable scale, and the upgrading and maintenance of in-service equipment has become an important part of demand, which not only reduces the amplitude of the downward fluctuations in growth speed, but also Increased the difficulty of incremental recovery.
Chen Bin pointed out that from the perspective of the operation of the machinery industry in 2016, it mainly relied on the pulling of the automotive industry and the support of the electrical and electronic appliances industry. In 2017, the automobile industry is affected by the policy effect and the high growth base in 2016. It is expected that the growth rate will slow down; the growth rate of electrical and electronic appliances industry will also be slightly lower than 2016, and other industries will be affected by favorable policies and structural adjustments will be further promoted. The industry has seen signs of stabilization and recovery, and the growth rate will be better than in 2016.
“In 2016, the economic operation of the machinery industry continued the trend of stabilization at a low level since the fourth quarter of last year, and the operation was basically stable throughout the year.†Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Federation of Machinery Industry, said in an exclusive interview with reporters recently that “Made in China 2025 With the guidance of related policies and the related policies, the overall operation of the industry was stable, the growth rate rebounded, and the overall development trend was positive. At the same time, with the further advancement of structural adjustment, the market environment facing the development of the industry is still grim, the deeper internal conflicts in the industry are becoming more prominent, and the task of industrial transformation and upgrading is even more onerous.
Chen Bin pointed out that the growth rate in 2016 exceeded the expectation at the beginning of the year and it is expected that the growth rate of the value added of the machinery industry will be higher than that of the national industry and manufacturing industry. The revenue and profit of the main business will maintain a synchronous growth, and the export growth will strive better than last year (- 3.36%).
Looking forward to 2017, Chen Bin said that the machinery industry will implement "Made in China 2025" as the starting point, market-oriented, with enterprises as the main body, innovation as the foundation, and on the basis of maintaining the steady development of the machinery industry, vigorously promote machinery Industrial restructuring, transformation and upgrading, cost reduction and efficiency increase, and strive to realize the healthy development of the industry.
Growth rebounded beyond expectations
Chen Bin pointed out that since 2016, the growth rate of the major economic indicators of the machinery industry has generally risen on the basis of the lower level of the previous year, and the growth rate has exceeded the expectation at the beginning of the year. From January to October, the growth rate of the value added of machinery industry increased by 9.3% year-on-year, which was higher than the growth rate of industrial and manufacturing value added over the same period, which was 4.1% higher than the same period of last year; the income from main operations increased by 7.22% compared to the same period of last year. The increase was 4.22 percentage points; the profit growth was 7.19% year-on-year, an increase of 6 percentage points over the same period of last year.
As of October, there were a total of 85,700 enterprises above designated size in the machinery industry, accounting for 22.72% of the nation's total industry; 19.51 trillion yuan in main business income, accounting for 21.19% of the nation's total industrial output; 1.29 trillion yuan in total profits, accounting for 24.49% of the national industry. %, contribute to the steady growth of the country's industry.
In the severe market competition, enterprises are in line with the adjustment of the country's industrial structure, and strive to develop marketable products, and the development momentum is good.
The output of products closely related to consumption and environmental protection kept growing. From January to October, the production and sales of automobiles reached 220.16 million units and 22.0172 million units respectively, an increase of 13.79% and 13.83% year-on-year. The growth of environmental protection products was outstanding. From January to October, the equipment for environmental pollution prevention and control increased by 21.17% year-on-year; the internal-combustion forklifts related to logistics and warehousing consumption increased by 11.3%, the electric forklift increased by 2.64%, and the packaging equipment increased by 4.19%.
Sales of products related to new energy and smart manufacturing have grown rapidly. From January to October, the production and sales volume of new energy vehicles were 355,000 and 337,000, respectively, an increase of 77.9% and 82.2% respectively year-on-year. In the first half of the year, domestic industrial robots sold 19,000 units, an increase of 70.8% year-on-year.
In the national key transmission channel construction projects and accelerate the construction of the distribution network transformation and a new round of rural power grid transformation and upgrading project, the power-related products to maintain growth. Electrical and Instrumentation increased by 15.55% year-on-year, transformers related to power transmission and transformation increased by 6.77% year-on-year, power capacitors increased by 12.48%, high-voltage switchboards increased by 8.84%, high-voltage switchgears (above 110,000 volts) increased by 16.74% compared to the same period of last year, and optical cables increased year-on-year. 15.49%, strand growth 12.43% year-on-year.
Steady progress in innovation capacity building
Under the guidance of relevant industrial policies such as the “Made in China 2025†strategy, the transformation, upgrading and innovation of the machinery industry continued to advance.
Large-scale nuclear power, hydropower, thermal power and wind power equipment, UHV AC/DC and flexible DC transmission and transformation equipment, key equipment for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipelines, key equipment for large-scale coal Chemical industry, high-end CNC machine tools and other high-end equipment have achieved breakthroughs in independent research and development.
Due to the continuous downturn in the traditional product market, innovation and development has become an independent choice for more and more machinery companies, and the investment of enterprises in exploring innovative capacity and innovative models has increased significantly.
Progress has been made in the construction of basic test and test platforms for the development of new products. Platforms for large-scale compressor test rigs, water wheel model test rigs, and power station safety valve test rigs have been completed one after another. Test and testing platforms with advanced world standards are still beginning to be built.
Smart Manufacturing started
In recent years, China's manufacturing industry has accelerated the pace of digitization and information construction, and the construction of automated production lines and digital workshops has accelerated. The level of informationization in production, operations, and management has been continuously improved. Under the synergy effect of the rapid development of information technology such as the Internet and cloud computing, as well as sensing and control technologies, smart manufacturing has begun to take off. Take industrial robots as an example. According to statistics from China Robotics Industry Alliance, China has become the world’s largest consumer market for industrial robots for three consecutive years. "Machine substitution" has obvious momentum. In China, transfer robots have accounted for 42% of robots, and welding robots have accounted for 30%.
At the same time, the transformation of traditional enterprises into the manufacturing services industry continues to advance, and the service model continues to innovate. China Machines Co., Ltd. has issued the “Guidance Opinion on the Development of Service-Oriented Manufacturing in the Machinery Industryâ€. At present, the service-oriented manufacturing of the machinery industry has been extended to 13 subordinate industries, achieving a complete service chain from R&D and design to product recycling and remanufacturing. Shaanxi Blower Group, Weichai Power Group and Hangzhou Oxygen Co., Ltd. have emerged. Machinery Group, Zhejiang Zhonghua Technology Co., Ltd. and a number of typical and model companies. The service industry of the machinery industry is actively advancing, new business models and new models are emerging, and the development of service-oriented manufacturing has become an important approach for the transformation and upgrading of machinery industry enterprises.
Special equipment manufacturing is a short board for development
Chen Bin pointed out that the current problems in the development of the machinery industry and the short board mainly include the following aspects:
First, the growth rate of investment has fallen back too quickly. From January to October, the total investment in fixed assets rose by 8.3% year-on-year. The manufacturing industry increased by 3.1% year-on-year. The investment in the machinery industry only increased by 0.74%, which was 10.36 percentage points lower than that in the first quarter. It was the lowest growth rate in the same period since 2008, which was lower than the total. Social and manufacturing investment growth rate was 7.56 and 2.36 percentage points.
In the 13 major industries of the machinery industry, nearly half of the industry's investment decreased year-on-year, including six industries: internal combustion engines, heavy machinery, machine tools, petrochemical general machinery, cultural Office Equipment, and other civilian machinery. The growth rate of electrical and electronic appliances and food packaging machinery industry was higher in the industries with year-on-year growth, which were 10.36% and 8.48%, respectively. The increase in investment in agricultural machinery, construction machinery, instrumentation, basic parts and automobile industries was less than 5%.
Second, the weak market demand situation has not improved noticeably. The survey data of the key industrial enterprises in the machinery industry show that the accumulated orders have risen compared with last year, but the ordering situation is still unstable, and the relevant industries such as engineering, heavy-duty, mining machinery, and petroleum machinery Enterprise orders are obviously insufficient. The main reason is that due to the large amount of social inventory accumulated in the market during the period of high-speed growth in the early stage, the new projects have a limited effect on the market. The demand for iron and steel, electricity, coal, building materials, and petroleum in the upstream industry is sluggish, and demand for machinery and equipment has declined.
Third, the investment host industry is difficult. Although the operating conditions of the machinery industry have been generally satisfactory since 2016, most investment-oriented host industries are still in difficulties except for the automotive and electric industries.
Fourth, the international market is weak. From January to October, the total import and export volume of the machinery industry was 525.97 billion U.S. dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 4.77%. In terms of sub-sectors, the total foreign trade exports of the 13 sub-sectors of the machinery industry were all negative year-on-year, and the declines in the agricultural machinery, engineering machinery, and cultural office equipment industries all exceeded 10%. In addition, exports accounted for 40% of private-sector enterprises in the entire industry. In the past, exports grew by double digits. Since the beginning of last year, they have begun to decline month by month. From January to October, negative growth has occurred, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 0.79%.
Chen Bin pointed out that the current special equipment manufacturing has become a shortcoming in the development of the machinery industry. After years of development, China's equipment manufacturing industry has made great achievements and formed a relatively complete industrial system. It provides a large number of technical equipment for the development of the national economy and national defense construction, but the special production equipment, production lines, and equipment required for the manufacture of these technical equipment are The detection system mainly relies on imports. Compared with developed countries, there is still a large gap between domestic production facilities, production lines, and inspection systems. The capacity for independent innovation is weak, and core technologies are missing; product reliability, stability, and consistency are not high; user departments and manufacturing departments The degree of integration is low, and cooperative development, demonstration and promotion are difficult. The vast majority of imported equipment is dedicated production equipment, special production lines and special inspection systems. The key production equipment for the manufacture of major technical equipment and the special production lines and inspection systems for manufacturing high-end products are basically controlled by people. These have become major shortcomings in the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry.
The industry is stable and the trend remains unchanged
Judging the current domestic and international situation facing the machinery industry, Chen Bin pointed out that in the context of the rise of global trade protectionism and the increasing anti-globalization trend in 2016, although the global economy has generally maintained a recovery trend, it faces insufficient growth momentum, weak demand, and financial There have been multiple risks and challenges such as repeated market turmoil, continued sluggish trade and investment.
Under this situation, the machinery industry's foreign trade, foreign cooperation, and capital allocation will all face a new and more complex situation. It is necessary to actively explore new methods, new models, and new approaches, taking advantage of China’s economic “One Belt and One Road†strategy, and maintaining and improving the status of China’s machinery industry in the global market.
In the domestic market, in-depth advancement of various tasks of “Made in China 2025â€, implementation of “Strong Foundation Project†and “Intelligent Manufacturing†as well as the implementation of major technological transformation and upgrading projects are significant for the development of the machinery industry and the driving role of economic operation. . Under the circumstances that the downward pressure on the industry economy has intensified and the transformation and upgrading are in the critical stage, it is not only a continuation of the adjustment and revitalization planning policy for the “12th Five-Year†mechanical industry, but also a concrete deployment and requirement for the development of the “13th Five-Year Plan†mechanical industry. Aiming at the shortcomings and contradictions in the development of the machinery industry, it is instructive, targeted, and highly operational. It provides a favorable policy environment for the development of the machinery industry and boosts the confidence and determination of the entire industry. However, it should be noted that the downward pressure on economic operations is still high, and the sluggish domestic market for mechanical products is unlikely to improve significantly in the short term. Iron and steel, coal, electricity, petroleum, and chemical industries, which are the main services for the machinery industry, are generally in the period of deep adjustment of the industrial structure. It is difficult for demand for energy equipment to increase substantially in the short term. In addition, after years of rapid development, the social possession of various types of machinery products has reached a considerable scale, and the upgrading and maintenance of in-service equipment has become an important part of demand, which not only reduces the amplitude of the downward fluctuations in growth speed, but also Increased the difficulty of incremental recovery.
Chen Bin pointed out that from the perspective of the operation of the machinery industry in 2016, it mainly relied on the pulling of the automotive industry and the support of the electrical and electronic appliances industry. In 2017, the automobile industry is affected by the policy effect and the high growth base in 2016. It is expected that the growth rate will slow down; the growth rate of electrical and electronic appliances industry will also be slightly lower than 2016, and other industries will be affected by favorable policies and structural adjustments will be further promoted. The industry has seen signs of stabilization and recovery, and the growth rate will be better than in 2016.
Core Value Service Ends Yingkou Yuyuan Industrial Co.,Lit , https://www.made--in--china.com